2024 Presidential Election Forecast
Poll Averages
Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict the election outcome. Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race using data from national and state polls. We update the average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency.
Electoral College
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. You can use this interactive map to create your own 2024 presidential election forecast. The South Dakota runoff will be held if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the primary election.
Candidate Favorability Ratings
Biden's favorability rating is 36% positive and 53% negative, for a net rating of -17. Harris's favorability rating is 38% positive and 53% negative, for a net rating of -15.
Comments